Wednesday, November 03, 2004

Is it time for Kerry to be miselected?

It will take at least 11 days before any final result, maybe more. And then, who knows? maybe Kerry will get miselected this time...


US elections 2004
11/3/2004 10:25:15 AM UTC  #  Comments [0] 
Well, maybe not a tie, but still very unlikely we'll know who won anytime soon

    With Ohio being too close to call, and the military and provisional ballots being decisive in that State. And you know what ? those votes won't be counted until November 13th. With the delay in counting votes in IOWA, I don't think there is anyway we will know the result this morning (not only Bush has to carry Nevada and New Mexico, which is possible, but he has to carry two out of Minesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Hawai)


US elections 2004
11/3/2004 7:22:52 AM UTC  #  Comments [0] 
It will be hard to swallow, but bush seems garanteed to win!

My earlier prediction seems to break when I look at how the Ohio votes are coming about. It is still early to have statistical confidence, but it is really leaning towards bush, and there is no big surprise in favor of Kerry to be expected in any significant state that can balance out Ohio. My prediction now would be 248 for Kerry and 292 for Bush...


US elections 2004
11/3/2004 3:56:02 AM UTC  #  Comments [0] 
What a stupid approach to building a highly visible site!

This is just one of many errors on this page... looks like they have some guy editing HTML to make the needed changes which occur...whenever they have some election news!!!!

One would have expected that they would have heard of DataBases, and maybe even about Content Management... not after you look at the javascript mess they have on the page, and the errors that kep showing up hinting that HTML has changed and is broken...


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11/3/2004 3:36:07 AM UTC  #  Comments [0] 

  Saturday, October 30, 2004

what if the US election comes down to a tie?

I was playing the CNN.com Presidential Showdown Game and what I thought was the most likely outcome looked like this :

   To my big surprise, when I tried to figure out what the result would be, it was 269 electors for Kerry and 269 electors for bush!

    If that happens, well, then the decision would go to the House of Representatives, with one vote for each state, which most certainly will mean a victory for Bush... He would then be the only president in US history to be miselected twice. Even more surprising is that in that case, the most probable vice-president (decided by the senate) would be John Edwards!

    Also interesting to note is that, if that was ever to happen, then don't expect to know who is the president before January...

    Let's hope it doesn't come down to this scenario (by the way, I looked in the "Internets" and found another prediction of a tie that uses a different electoral map projection, and another one one more that bank on elector Richie Robb from West Virginia voting for Kerry)


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10/30/2004 9:41:27 AM UTC  #  Comments [0] 

  Tuesday, October 19, 2004

Does Bush Compaigning help ... Kerry ?

   I have been puzzled by what has been happening in the US election compaign this past week in Florida. It really looks like the more Bush compaigns there, the more the state leans closer to Kerry (today, Survey USA is giving Kerry 50%, Bush 49%)... Well, maybe the Kerry compaign should send Bush to more battle states...


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10/19/2004 11:48:27 PM UTC  #  Comments [0]